Operational floor
68 controllers per rating. Attrition may temporarily reduce a rating below this level.
Projection Framework
Operations-first projection across AP, AS and APS integrating OJT progression, College movement, attrition and operational experience.
Target
80 operational controllers for each rating.
Pathway
AP → AS → APS. Operational/OJT progression takes precedence over College scheduling.
Annual supply
MAVA up to 40 new staff annually; projection uses 20 KLATCC controllers per annual intake.
Training allocation
15 current-method + 5 Two-Stream.
Attrition
3 controllers every 12 months, deducted from APS for projection purposes.
Monthly Operational Manpower Progression
First common target month: M34AP 84 · AS 83 · APS 82
Full M0–M36 table
AS College Waiting Time
AP-rated month → AS College start. Range 12–14 months; average ≈13 months.
APS College Movement
Five groups × 3 controllers. C5 extends beyond M36.
Experience Criteria Split by Rating
The experience distribution uses the same month-by-month data as the approved infographic and is an experience-duration view, not an operational qualification status.
CAD 1201 — OJTI experience
An OJTI requires at least 24 months (2 years) of working experience as a qualified controller and at least 6 months on the relevant rating or validation, together with the other applicable requirements.
Non-OJTI rated controller provision
CAD 1201 also permits OJT under a rated controller who is not an OJTI while the assigned OJTI remains responsible for the training objectives. The relevant note states no specific minimum number of months of experience for that rated controller.
Full M0–M36 criteria table
AP maturity: I1 first 10 M4→M28 · next 5 M6→M30 · I1 G2 M10→M34. Intake 2 and 3 do not reach the 2-year threshold within M36.
6-Month Current-Rating Experience Split
The current-rating experience period starts in the month the controller obtains that rating. A controller is counted as having 6 months or more of experience from the sixth month after obtaining the rating.
Full M0–M36 rating-experience table
Maintaining a Sustainable Manpower Pipeline
The projection shows a progressive build-up of AP, AS and APS while OJT and College movement continue. The first common month in which all three ratings are at or above the target of 80 is M34, at AP 84 · AS 83 · APS 82.
Assess the required operational buffer
Extend the analysis to determine the level of operational buffer required above the target of 80, taking into account attrition, OJT and College movement. This will help establish a sustainable manpower level rather than assuming a fixed buffer in advance.
Continue the projection
Extend the model to M48 and M60 to test the manpower position after the initial 36-month build-up and identify the longer-term effect of attrition.
Review future annual intake
Use the extended projection to determine the minimum sustainable annual intake required to maintain AP, AS and APS while allowing OJT and College progression to continue.